Investment Market Commentary Q2 2022 – July 2022
The H1 Bannon capital markets report is out now and worth a read as Roderick Nowlan feels certain sectors are passing an inflection point….
To view the full report, please click
The H1 Bannon capital markets report is out now and worth a read as Roderick Nowlan feels certain sectors are passing an inflection point….
To view the full report, please click
Take up for Q2 was largely on par with Q1 of this year with 511,549 sq.ft. of office accommodation transacting across 61 deals, bringing the YTD take up figure to just over 1 million sq.ft. Whilst not back to pre-covid levels, demand in the marketplace continues with over 1.3 million sq.ft. currently reserved.
2nd Floor, IFSC House, Dublin 1 – IFSC House is a high-profile landmark building with stunning river views, offering a prominent corporate HQ opportunity in the centre of Dublin’s International Financial Services Centre. Extending to over 22,200 sq.ft. the 2nd floor office is available now by way of Sub-Lease or Assignment.
For further information contact Lucy Connolly or Ros Tierney on 01-6477900.
The combination of current and expected future demand for housing in Dublin’s commuter belt counties should see strong interest from investors and developers in the sale of a 12-acre land holding in Mullingar, Co Westmeath.
The lands, on the Dublin Road and just 700m from Mullingar town centre, are being offered to the market by joint agents Bannon and James L Murtagh & Sons on behalf of St Finian’s Diocesan Trust at a guide price of €2.75 million.
The subject holding surrounds the diocesan office, which the trust is retaining for its continued use, and is distributed across two parcels of land extending to a combined area of about 4.85 hectares (12 acres). The entire holding is zoned “Proposed Residential” in the Mullingar Local Area Plan 2014–2020 (as extended). An architectural feasibility study prepared by Altu Architects indicates potential (subject to planning consent) for the development of a housing scheme of about 116 units, comprising 27 two-bedroom houses, 35 three-bedroom houses and 54 four-bedroom houses.
While the lands have a sylvan setting adjoining St Paul’s Catholic Church, St Colman’s National School and Clonard House, they are near all the amenities of Mullingar.
Mullingar is a well-established commuter town and sits about 80km or a one-hour drive from Dublin via the N4 and M4 motorway. The town is also served by mainline rail services.
Niall Brereton of Bannon says: “This is a rare opportunity to acquire a development site in one of the most desirable residential locations within the Dublin commuter belt. Mullingar is a highly accessible town given its proximity to the N4 as well as Mullingar train station offering daily services to and from Dublin city centre. The subject land has terrific development potential, subject to planning permission, and will appeal to developers seeking opportunities to deliver new housing units in an area of high demand.”
Our June 2022 Bannon Retail Pulse is now available. This month, as well as keeping track on our indicators which continue to improve, we focus on Grafton Street. We forecast that current vacancy is likely to drop significantly as 2022 progresses with a further enhancement of the mix and offerings on our premier retail street.
To view the full report, please click here.
Managing 25% of Ireland’s Shopping Centres, our Property Management team is very proud of the scale and reach of our growing portfolio. On an ongoing basis, Bannon engages with various contractors to optimise user experience and maintain the appearance and accessibility across our retail portfolio. One such example is Gorey Shopping Centre.
A big thank you to everyone involved in recent projects, namely Arkomax (Refurbishment of Public Toilets & Installation of Parent & Child Facilities) and Breffni Group (Car Park Works). Also, a big thank you to the ever committed Niamh O’Byrne (Gorey Shopping Centre – Centre Manager).
TEAM – Together Everyone Achieves More!
The challenges faced by retail and the effects on performance metrics against the various Covid trading restrictions, have triggered the need to reconsider how retail assets should be categorised and considered. ‘Retail asset’ is a broad, all-encompassing term used to capture Shopping Centres, Retail Parks and High Street/Main Street Shopping. At Bannon, we have extensive data and performance metrics across these retail asset types. This information demands a rethink on how we talk about the sector. While property is inherently heterogenous, with each asset having its own idiosyncrasies, we can refine asset types based on shared and similar characteristics, which overall, relate to the role and function these assets play in their local catchment and community.
How various retail assets have reacted to and been affected by the restricted retail trading conditions that began in early 2020, have driven the need to re-categorise these assets. Areas considered include their ability to perform their function, the extent to which they remain functional against changes in market conditions and the characteristics of each scheme. This has provided a more focused approach that can be used to better inform sustainable tenant mixes and pricing analysis. It is through our ability to combine analysis with Bannon’s unique data insights, that we endeavour to display thought leadership in the commercial property market. Based on this, Bannon will release articles on Community Shopping Centres, Retail Parks and Shopping Parks and High Streets that discuss the drivers that shape and influence key areas. They include their footfall, the opportunities and challenges their occupier mix face against emerging market trends and the role and function of these asset types within the market.
Watch out for this series of articles over the summer.
Author: George Colyer, Surveyor, Bannon
Date: 20th June 2022
The Bannon Retail team is acquiring stores on behalf of national and international retailers with a variety of use categories including Card Factory, Lush, Pret A Manager, Eason, Jump Juice Bars, Matt Britton, McCabes Pharmacy, Tuthills, Gino’s and L’Ombre Hair & Beauty. As part of our work, we advise them on their rollout strategy across Ireland.
On meeting a potential acquisition client, we study the retailer to understand their brand placement and their customer profile. This together with other research allows us to accurately assess where best to locate them.
We secured the acquisition instruction for Smiggle (the Australian go to brand for school, lifestyle and stationery products) and by way of a sample case study we set out below the service provided and our contribution to a successful store roll out.
The Brief:
On successfully pitching our acquisition services, our brief from Smiggle was to provide a full service in identifying new store locations and negotiating lease terms on their behalf.
Stage 1:
Smiggle was a new entrant to Ireland. We began by educating them on the current economic climate, the retail market within Ireland and the retail hierarchy across the country. Leasing structures in Australia are quite different to those commonly used in Ireland. We prepared a detailed presentation on the standard leasing terms in Ireland to include lease length, owner and occupier renewal rights, upwards downwards rent reviews, break options and sub-letting terms. We also assisted them in securing a legal team to represent the company in Ireland.
Stage 2:
Understanding the retailer’s model, we used our expertise to advise where their initial focus should be placed for unit acquisition. We completed a table of target locations and collated an individual pack on each detailing footfall, scheme size, current retailers, available units and sample costs. We toured the Country with them and agreed the target towns and cities where they wished to secure representation.
Stage 3:
We began searching for suitable available units within the agreed target locations. We commenced negotiations and proceeded to agree rental terms, tenant incentives, lease structure, break options and additional tenant specific requirements. On finalising terms, we assisted the legal team in bringing the lettings to lease signing. We assisted them in appointing a fit-out contractor and liaised with the team to provide unit plans and the technical information required to prepare fit out drawings for owner approval.
Outcome
Smiggle saw a stronger opening in Ireland than in any other territory they trade in. The conclusion to the roll out strategy saw the opening of stores in Dundrum Town Centre, Blanchardstown Town Centre, Swords Pavilions, Ilac Centre, Mahon Point Shopping Centre, Crescent Shopping Centre and Winthrop Street in Cork.
Based on our understanding of the market and the Smiggle brand, our advice was an initial roll out of 5-10 store openings. We achieved this target, and the occupier was extremely pleased with our seamless acquisition strategy and the stores secured.
The Bannon Retail team specialises in both owner and occupier representation nationwide. We complete on average c. 170 retail transactions per year. Understanding the market is key whilst advising both owners and occupiers across their portfolio. We collect over 250 pieces of turnover data weekly/monthly, and we use this data and experience to maintain insight as the leading advisors to the retail market across the country.
Author: Jennifer Mulholland, Divisional Director, Bannon
Date: 15th June 2022
While the traditional retail sector continues to evolve in response to the challenges presented by the rise in online shopping and the questions posed by the Covid-19 pandemic, the presence of two of Ireland’s most successful and resilient brands as anchors coupled with significant rental income from a strong tenant line-up is expected to attract interest from both domestic and international investors in the sale of the Marshes Shopping Centre.
The Dundalk scheme — acquired by its current owners, American real estate firm Kennedy Wilson, for €44.5 million in 2014 — is being offered to the market by joint agents CBRE and Bannon at a guide price of €33.5 million.
Anchored by a 71,600sq ft Penneys and a 116,500sq ft Dunnes Stores (grocery and drapery), the Marshes Shopping Centre has consistently delivered robust trading and occupancy levels and proved resilient through the Covid-19 pandemic. The scheme is approaching a 100 per cent occupancy rate with its two remaining vacant units currently the subject of negotiations with prospective occupiers. Outside of its anchor tenants, the centre is generating a net operational income of about €3.4 million per annum from leading retailers including Boots, H&M, Eason and JD Sports. Some €400,000 of this income is being derived from the scheme’s surface car park, which also offers development potential according to the selling agents. The guide price of €33.5 million reflects a net initial yield of 9.2 per cent and a capital value of €233 per square foot.
Built originally in 2005 at a cost of €120 million, the Marshes Shopping Centre boasts a diverse national and international tenant mix including grocery, necessity retail, fashion, and food and beverage distributed across a lettable area (excluding anchors Penneys and Dunnes Stores) of 13,366sq m (144,000sq ft) on a site of 27.6 acres. The scheme has a prime location in Dundalk town and is widely regarded as one of the foremost retail centres for the wider northeast region.
In the short term, the investment offers the purchaser strong and sustainable rental income with multiple asset-management and income-growth opportunities including leasing up the remaining vacant space (last two units). There are a number of redevelopment options available also subject to planning permission, according to the selling agents.
Commenting on the sale, Roderick Nowlan, director at Bannon’s capital markets division said: “The acceleration of change within the retail sector, driven by Covid, has highlighted the strength of strong regional centres, especially those with robust grocery and necessity retail anchors as well as internet-resilient occupiers such as Penneys and Dunnes. The strong rent and service charge collection performance of this asset reflects this position.”
Kyle Rothwell, executive director at CBRE’s capital markets division, added: “We anticipate strong interest for Marshes Shopping Centre. The centre is performing exceptionally well and is supported by two very strong anchors and a complementary tenant mix. This scheme will appeal to those who are looking to complete short-term asset management and subsequently benefit from a fully let scheme.”
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19-26 Pembroke Street Lower
Dublin 2
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Phone: +353 (1) 6477900
Fax: +353 (1) 6477901
Email: info@bannon.ie